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But economists have two longer-term concerns. Certainly if you own commercial property downtown you might be facing losses.
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Opinion is divided on whether the spreading out of economic activity is welcome. “Suburban-type stores have done better than the urban stores,” said Peter Nordstrom, the president of his family’s department-store chain, on an earnings call Starbucks’ chief executive said that “transactions in the current environment have migrated from dense metro centres to suburbs and from cafés to drive-throughs”. In America rents in the 300 densest postcodes have fallen by 5% since the pandemic began, but are unchanged in the 300 next-densest areas. Central Paris is still much less lively than the rest of Île-de-France, for instance. The less glamorous ones are taking more of the spoils. What were once the liveliest urban areas are becoming less so. Like an egg broken onto a pan, economic activity is gradually seeping outward from the centre. The data point more clearly to a different sort of reallocation. But in most places their advantage has faded (though activity in Japan may still be shifting slightly into the most sparsely populated areas). In the early part of this year sparsely populated American counties were a lot busier than dense ones, compared with their pre-pandemic levels. Rural areas are not the prime beneficiaries of this shakeout. The big question is whether this is something to worry about. The exodus from urban areas at the start of the pandemic, which was motivated by fear of catching the virus and which many assumed would be temporary, now looks more permanent and indicative of a deeper shift in preferences. The fact that Mr Glaeser has chosen to call his latest book (written with David Cutler) “Survival of the City” shows how much has changed. “Triumph of the City”, a book published in 2011 by Edward Glaeser of Harvard University, summed up the urban-centric mood. Over the same period job growth in Sydney’s inner districts was 40% faster than elsewhere in its metropolitan area. In 2000 the total daily salary bill for everyone working in inner London was twice what it was in the outer boroughs by 2019 it was three times as high. But the defensive staff seems a little more cohesive than the offensive staff right now.Your browser does not support the element.Įnjoy more audio and podcasts on iOS or Android.īefore the pandemic cities seemed invincible, with economic and cultural power becoming ever more concentrated in tiny geographical areas. There's going to be some movement because there's always movement. It'd be a massive upset if all 11 of Ole Miss' coaches returned for 2022.
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His track record with Baylor, UCF and Ole Miss is too impressive at this point not to at least get a few interviews. There are too many head coaching jobs open, especially in Lebby's native Texas, for someone not to give Lebby his chance. Offensive coordinator Jeff Lebby? He seems less likely to be back. So my thought is as long as Kiffin is back, the defensive coordinators probably should be too. And I don't think any team is ready to take the PR risk of hiring Durkin as their head coach quite yet. I don't think Ole Miss would fire him or co-defensive coordinator Chris Partridge for performance the way things have turned around this fall. Yeah, I think Durkin is pretty safe to return. Durkin will return for the next season? – Tyler Patrick But it's not time to anoint Kiffin the next Saban, Smart or Meyer off one great season.Įven though the defense has improved, do you think defensive coordinator D.J. If Ole Miss wins, it'll be the first 10-win regular season in school history. Richt won an SEC title in Year 2 and Miles lost one in Year 1.Įverything is relative. Saban, Chizik, Malzahn, Smart and Meyer played for national championships in Year 1 or 2. Of course, Kiffin isn't having the same type of 10-win season most of those coaches had. Ten of those 11 coaches played for or won an SEC title at some point in their tenure. The first 11? Saban at Alabama, Gene Chizik and Gus Malzahn at Auburn, Les Miles at LSU, Kevin Sumlin at Texas A&M, Mark Richt and Kirby Smart at Georgia and Urban Meyer, Muschamp, Jim McElwain and Mullen at Florida. If Ole Miss beats Mississippi State on Thursday to get to 10 wins, the Rebels will be the 12th SEC team since 2000 to win 10 or more regular-season games in the first or second year of a coach's tenure.